Inventory Increased, New High for 2022


by Calculated Risk on 10/17/2022 08:46:00 AM

Active inventory increased again, hitting a new peak for the year.  Here are the same week inventory changes for the last four years (usually inventory is declining at this time of year):

2022: +5.0K

2021: -2.4K

2020: -0.9K

2019: -10.9K

Inventory bottomed seasonally at the beginning of March 2022 and is now up 135% since then.  Altos reports inventory is up 33.7% year-over-year. 

Click on graph for larger image.

This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research.

As of October 14th, inventory was at 566 thousand (7-day average), compared to 561 thousand the prior week. 

Compared to the same week in 2021, inventory is up 33.7% from 424 thousand, and compared to the same week in 2020 inventory is up 2.1% from 554 thousand.  Compared to 3 years ago, inventory is down 39.5% from 936 thousand.

Here are the inventory milestones I’ve been watching for with the Altos data:

1. The seasonal bottom (happened on March 4, 2022, for Altos) ✅

2. Inventory up year-over-year (happened on May 20, 2022, for Altos) ✅

3. Inventory up compared to 2020 (happened on October 7, 2022, for Altos) ✅

4. Inventory up compared to 2019 (currently down 39.5%).

Altos Home Inventory

Here is a graph of the inventory change vs 2021 (milestone 2 above), 2020 (milestone 3) and 2019 (milestone 4).

The blue line is the year-over-year data, the red line is compared to two years ago, and dashed purple is compared to 2019.

A key will be if inventory continues to increase in the Fall.


Image and article originally from Read the original article here.